Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 17 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Stajan 49.4% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 21-17 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 84.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 52.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 62.4%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Carter
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
17
(38 meetings)
21
17
Carter
Stajan
Last 10: Carter 3-7 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
14
3
Carter
Stajan
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
7
Carter
Stajan
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
5
7
Carter
Stajan
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
50.2% (4,944)
+3.1%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
43.2% (176)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
46.1% (864)
+0.2%
On power play, Carter has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Home / Away
Carter
Stajan
Home
54.7% (5,752)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Carter
Stajan
P1
53.6%
50.3%
P2
52.8%
48.5%
P3
53.1%
49.4%
OT
56.5%
53.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2017 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 1 | 08:35 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 3 | 09:23 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 3 | 09:00 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 1 | 07:21 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 1 | 00:06 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 12:04 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 01:28 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 03:30 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 00:46 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 07:05 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 1 | 08:13 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |