Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.0%). Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.9% vs Fisher 51.8% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 62.4%
Defensive zone
Fisher 54.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 50.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Carter
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Carter
Fisher
Last 6: Carter 5-1 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Fisher
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Fisher
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Fisher
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (471)
51.8% (938)
+0.2%
Power Play
55.3% (132)
53.9% (115)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (41)
51.6% (93)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Fisher has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Carter is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Carter shoots right. Fisher is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Carter
Fisher
Home
53.6% (330)
53.1% (604)
Away
50.6% (314)
50.7% (542)
By Period
Carter
Fisher
P1
50.0%
48.0%
P2
55.6%
54.8%
P3
50.3%
52.5%
OT
59.1%
61.5%
Final 5 min
52.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.2%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2013 | 3 | 19:33 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 17, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 11:16 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 02:49 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |