Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Fisher on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 28 meetings). Carter wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Fisher 51.5% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Fisher leads 50-36 in 86 meetings
Offensive zone
Fisher 59.1%
Defensive zone
Fisher 59.6%
Neutral zone
Fisher 59.5%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Carter
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
50
(86 meetings)
36
50
Carter
Fisher
Last 10: Carter 4-6 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
13
12
Carter
Fisher
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
13
20
Carter
Fisher
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
10
18
Carter
Fisher
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
51.4% (6,100)
+1.9%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
53.8% (1,126)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
48.8% (781)
-2.5%
On power play, Carter has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Carter shoots right. Fisher is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,492).
Home / Away
Carter
Fisher
Home
54.7% (5,752)
52.4% (4,113)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
50.6% (3,922)
By Period
Carter
Fisher
P1
53.6%
49.6%
P2
52.8%
52.8%
P3
53.1%
52.2%
OT
56.5%
49.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 18:52 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 06:29 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 04:52 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 15:39 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 06:30 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 02:48 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 17:42 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 06:51 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 01:41 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 27, 2016 | OT | 00:55 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 3 | 03:06 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 12:05 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 21, 2016 | 3 | 03:30 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 21, 2016 | 3 | 00:32 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 21, 2016 | 2 | 16:32 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |