Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 37 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Bonino 50.0% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 53-37 in 90 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 57.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 77.9%
Neutral zone
Bonino 65.7%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 68.4%
31.6%
68.4%
Carter
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
53
(90 meetings)
37
53
Carter
Bonino
Last 10: Carter 3-7 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
18
9
Carter
Bonino
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
8
29
Carter
Bonino
37 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
11
15
Carter
Bonino
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
50.6% (8,315)
+2.7%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
54.1% (972)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
44.6% (1,693)
+1.7%
On power play, Carter has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Home / Away
Carter
Bonino
Home
54.7% (5,752)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Carter
Bonino
P1
53.6%
50.6%
P2
52.8%
48.5%
P3
53.1%
51.1%
OT
56.5%
45.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 13:35 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 03:19 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 05:48 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 17:19 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 01:07 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 15:09 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 12:40 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 01:55 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 1 | 19:46 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 1 | 13:00 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 1 | 11:01 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 07:13 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 05:49 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |