Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 63.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Bonino 50.8% (+11.5%)
Offensive zone
Carter 54.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 59.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 52.5%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Carter
Bonino
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
51.8% (305)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
48.5% (101)
+2.0%
On even strength, Carter has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Carter shoots right. Bonino is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Carter
Bonino
Home
64.3% (207)
53.1% (177)
Away
60.8% (217)
49.3% (229)
By Period
Carter
Bonino
P1
65.3%
55.9%
P2
60.1%
49.6%
P3
63.8%
47.6%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
65.3%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%