Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.1% vs Bonino 52.3% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 60.2%
Defensive zone
Bonino 63.2%
Neutral zone
Carter 51.4%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Carter
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Carter
Bonino
Last 6: Carter 2-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Carter
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Carter
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (552)
52.0% (717)
+0.2%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
62.7% (67)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (100)
50.7% (144)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Carter is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Carter shoots right. Bonino is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (381).
Home / Away
Carter
Bonino
Home
51.2% (324)
54.8% (429)
Away
51.2% (422)
50.7% (499)
By Period
Carter
Bonino
P1
49.8%
53.5%
P2
52.8%
49.5%
P3
51.2%
54.8%
OT
40.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.2%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 05:48 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 17:19 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 01:07 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 15:09 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |