Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.1% vs Marleau 48.4% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 66.7%
Defensive zone
Marleau 67.3%
Neutral zone
Marleau 54.4%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Carter
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Carter
Marleau
Last 8: Carter 4-4 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Marleau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
2
Carter
Marleau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
3
1
Carter
Marleau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (289)
47.3% (91)
+5.6%
Power Play
56.5% (69)
50.0% (14)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
46.7% (45)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Carter is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Carter shoots right. Marleau is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Carter
Marleau
Home
56.4% (181)
48.6% (74)
Away
49.3% (203)
46.1% (76)
By Period
Carter
Marleau
P1
56.6%
34.7%
P2
54.0%
48.9%
P3
47.2%
53.2%
OT
50.0%
77.8%
Final 5 min
56.6%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 18:10 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 07:41 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 04:49 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 00:27 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 15:54 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |