Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.9%). Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.9% vs Marleau 52.2% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 71.9%
Defensive zone
Marleau 69.8%
Neutral zone
Marleau 50.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Carter
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Carter
Marleau
Last 6: Carter 3-3 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Marleau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
3
Carter
Marleau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (471)
56.4% (234)
-4.4%
Power Play
55.3% (132)
60.0% (10)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (41)
39.1% (64)
+4.8%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Carter is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Carter shoots right. Marleau is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (134).
Home / Away
Carter
Marleau
Home
53.6% (330)
52.7% (167)
Away
50.6% (314)
53.2% (141)
By Period
Carter
Marleau
P1
50.0%
51.5%
P2
55.6%
51.2%
P3
50.3%
55.9%
OT
59.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.2%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.2%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2014 | 3 | 06:27 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 1 | 05:36 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 1 | 07:54 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Oct 30, 2013 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 30, 2013 | 1 | 07:04 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |