Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 21 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Berglund 48.7% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Berglund leads 25-24 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Berglund 56.2%
Defensive zone
Berglund 56.4%
Neutral zone
Berglund 55.1%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Carter
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
25
(49 meetings)
24
25
Carter
Berglund
Last 10: Carter 7-3 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
12
9
Carter
Berglund
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
7
10
Carter
Berglund
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
5
6
Carter
Berglund
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
49.0% (4,697)
+4.3%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
51.3% (548)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
43.2% (461)
+3.1%
On power play, Carter has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Berglund is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,046).
Home / Away
Carter
Berglund
Home
54.7% (5,752)
50.9% (2,829)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
46.6% (2,904)
By Period
Carter
Berglund
P1
53.6%
49.3%
P2
52.8%
48.2%
P3
53.1%
49.0%
OT
56.5%
39.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 03:49 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 05:28 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 03:08 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 14:40 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 12:52 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 10:03 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 03:17 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 10:04 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 07:07 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 00:39 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 19:41 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 1 | 07:40 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 16, 2014 | OT | 02:32 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 06:42 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 1 | 19:09 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 10:48 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |