Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 54.0% vs Elias 45.8% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 84.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 83.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 78.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 83.0%
83.0%
17.0%
Carter
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Carter
Elias
Last 9: Carter 6-3 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
1
Carter
Elias
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Elias
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Elias
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (445)
44.5% (407)
+11.7%
Power Play
54.4% (114)
47.8% (23)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (40)
46.8% (62)
-9.3%
On even strength, Carter has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Carter is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Carter shoots right. Elias is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Carter
Elias
Home
55.0% (291)
44.8% (252)
Away
54.5% (314)
45.1% (246)
By Period
Carter
Elias
P1
57.2%
43.0%
P2
46.6%
47.8%
P3
58.0%
43.4%
OT
77.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.2%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.7%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2011 | 3 | 19:59 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 04:10 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 1 | 07:45 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 3 | 09:01 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |