Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Elias 42.7% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 93.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 95.0%
Neutral zone
Carter 95.0%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 94.5%
94.5%
5.5%
Carter
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
6
(18 meetings)
12
6
Carter
Elias
Last 10: Carter 7-3 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
7
1
Carter
Elias
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
2
Carter
Elias
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
2
3
Carter
Elias
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
42.3% (2,591)
+11.0%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
48.4% (405)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
36.0% (367)
+10.3%
On even strength, Carter has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Elias is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Carter
Elias
Home
54.7% (5,752)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Carter
Elias
P1
53.6%
41.1%
P2
52.8%
43.1%
P3
53.1%
43.0%
OT
56.5%
43.2%
Final 5 min
53.2%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2011 | OT | 01:52 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 23, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 10:05 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 01:34 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 15:23 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 3 | 19:59 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 04:10 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 1 | 07:45 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 3 | 09:01 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |