Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Peverley on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 50.7% vs Peverley 58.6% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 76.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 70.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 68.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Carter
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Carter
Peverley
Last 5: Carter 1-4 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
3
Carter
Peverley
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Peverley
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (565)
59.2% (223)
-8.2%
Power Play
50.0% (188)
61.1% (54)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
68.5% (54)
-18.5%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Carter is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Carter shoots right. Peverley is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Carter
Peverley
Home
52.3% (421)
54.0% (161)
Away
49.0% (353)
67.8% (171)
By Period
Carter
Peverley
P1
55.4%
65.0%
P2
49.1%
53.0%
P3
47.6%
65.5%
OT
58.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
67.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
50.8%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2011 | 3 | 03:47 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 16:05 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 07:47 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 03:27 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 14:08 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |