Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Peverley on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Carter wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Peverley 57.7% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 55.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 54.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 56.9%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Carter
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Carter
Peverley
Last 9: Carter 3-6 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Peverley
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
4
Carter
Peverley
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Carter
Peverley
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
58.0% (1,715)
-4.7%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
57.0% (391)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
59.2% (333)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Carter shoots right. Peverley is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (738).
Home / Away
Carter
Peverley
Home
54.7% (5,752)
58.1% (1,266)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
57.9% (1,182)
By Period
Carter
Peverley
P1
53.6%
59.6%
P2
52.8%
57.8%
P3
53.1%
57.0%
OT
56.5%
51.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2013 | 1 | 13:07 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 01:48 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 3 | 03:47 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 16:05 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 07:47 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 03:27 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 14:08 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 3 | 02:47 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 2 | 02:13 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |