Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Sheahan 50.1% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 22-18 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 81.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 56.2%
Neutral zone
Carter 62.0%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Carter
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
18
(40 meetings)
22
18
Carter
Sheahan
Last 10: Carter 4-6 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
9
4
Carter
Sheahan
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
9
8
Carter
Sheahan
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
4
6
Carter
Sheahan
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
51.0% (4,968)
+2.3%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
55.6% (322)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
44.3% (1,068)
+2.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Sheahan is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,365).
Home / Away
Carter
Sheahan
Home
54.7% (5,752)
51.1% (3,247)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
49.0% (3,111)
By Period
Carter
Sheahan
P1
53.6%
51.3%
P2
52.8%
51.2%
P3
53.1%
48.1%
OT
56.5%
35.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2021 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 1 | 04:51 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 1 | 04:42 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 13:44 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 11:46 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 3 | 19:55 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 3 | 05:05 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 1 | 19:51 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 07:54 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 09:44 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 01:05 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 17:49 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 04:57 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |