Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Sheahan 47.5% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 86.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 58.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 70.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Carter
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Carter
Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Sheahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
1
Carter
Sheahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
50.7% (357)
+7.2%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
50.0% (8)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
40.2% (194)
+5.2%
On power play, Carter has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Sheahan is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Carter
Sheahan
Home
58.2% (543)
44.8% (248)
Away
55.9% (594)
48.9% (311)
By Period
Carter
Sheahan
P1
57.5%
46.2%
P2
57.1%
50.5%
P3
55.8%
44.7%
OT
68.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2021 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 1 | 04:51 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 1 | 04:42 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |