Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sheahan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.9% vs Sheahan 49.2% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sheahan 65.2%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 61.9%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 67.9%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Carter
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Carter
Sheahan
Last 5: Carter 1-4 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
1
Carter
Sheahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
1
2
Carter
Sheahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
1
Carter
Sheahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (471)
47.6% (429)
+4.4%
Power Play
55.3% (132)
59.5% (79)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (41)
0.0% (4)
+43.9%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +43.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Carter is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Carter shoots right. Sheahan is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Carter
Sheahan
Home
53.6% (330)
52.7% (258)
Away
50.6% (314)
45.3% (254)
By Period
Carter
Sheahan
P1
50.0%
48.8%
P2
55.6%
49.7%
P3
50.3%
48.9%
OT
59.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.2%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.2%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2014 | OT | 02:19 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 17:32 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 19:51 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 19:43 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 2 | 04:08 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |