Scouting Report
Riley Sheahan holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.2% vs Sheahan 52.0% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 68.3%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 65.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 51.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Carter
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Carter
Sheahan
Last 9: Carter 6-3 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Sheahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Sheahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
3
2
Carter
Sheahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (935)
52.6% (544)
-2.7%
Power Play
61.8% (157)
60.0% (10)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (92)
50.7% (134)
-4.0%
On penalty kill, Sheahan has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Carter is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Carter shoots right. Sheahan is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Carter
Sheahan
Home
52.4% (638)
51.9% (376)
Away
50.0% (546)
52.9% (312)
By Period
Carter
Sheahan
P1
49.6%
57.6%
P2
50.9%
48.5%
P3
53.0%
52.8%
OT
58.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.3%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 09:44 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 01:05 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 17:49 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 04:57 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 04:18 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 05:30 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 16:36 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |