Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 55 meetings). Carter wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Getzlaf 49.8% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Getzlaf leads 76-70 in 146 meetings
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 56.5%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 54.9%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 55.7%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Carter
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
70
-
76
(146 meetings)
70
76
Carter
Getzlaf
Last 10: Carter 4-6 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
29
24
Carter
Getzlaf
53 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
17
38
Carter
Getzlaf
55 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
24
14
Carter
Getzlaf
38 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
49.6% (10,258)
+3.7%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
54.9% (1,381)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
44.8% (1,055)
+1.5%
On even strength, Carter has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Carter shoots right. Getzlaf is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (3,584).
Home / Away
Carter
Getzlaf
Home
54.7% (5,752)
51.8% (6,270)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
47.8% (6,495)
By Period
Carter
Getzlaf
P1
53.6%
49.2%
P2
52.8%
50.4%
P3
53.1%
49.7%
OT
56.5%
49.1%
Final 5 min
53.2%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 05:58 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 03:43 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 08:45 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 05:12 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 12:42 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 19:59 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 12:22 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 19:53 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 19:21 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 2 | 10:46 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 5, 2019 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 5, 2019 | 3 | 08:34 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 5, 2019 | 3 | 04:40 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 5, 2019 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 5, 2019 | 3 | 04:31 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 5, 2019 | 2 | 13:10 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |