Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 60.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Carrick 49.5% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 51.6%
Defensive zone
Carrick 56.6%
Neutral zone
Carrick 53.8%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Carter
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Carter
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Carter
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
49.2% (307)
+10.5%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
66.7% (6)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
48.2% (56)
+5.0%
On even strength, Carter has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Carter is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Carter shoots right. Carrick is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Carter
Carrick
Home
58.7% (455)
50.3% (175)
Away
60.0% (483)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Carter
Carrick
P1
61.3%
41.0%
P2
57.1%
51.2%
P3
59.8%
55.3%
Final 5 min
60.2%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 09:36 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |