Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.4% vs Gagner 47.2% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 70.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 93.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 85.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 81.0%
81.0%
19.0%
Carter
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Carter
Gagner
Last 8: Carter 6-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Carter
Gagner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (934)
45.6% (651)
+5.9%
Power Play
58.5% (164)
53.8% (119)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (95)
0.0% (1)
+52.6%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Carter is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (383).
Carter shoots right. Gagner is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Carter
Gagner
Home
55.1% (554)
47.1% (367)
Away
50.4% (639)
46.5% (404)
By Period
Carter
Gagner
P1
50.8%
49.6%
P2
52.1%
47.9%
P3
54.8%
43.4%
OT
50.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
51.7%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2015 | 3 | 06:37 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 2 | 16:37 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 2 | 06:08 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 11:08 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |