Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (62.5% vs 62.5%). Carter wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Gagner 52.4% (+0.0%)
Offensive zone
Gagner 69.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 75.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 53.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Carter
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
76.5% (17)
-10.9%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
28.6% (7)
+39.7%
On power play, Carter has a +39.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Carter is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Carter shoots right. Gagner is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (6).
Home / Away
Carter
Gagner
Home
64.3% (207)
75.0% (16)
Away
60.8% (217)
37.5% (8)
By Period
Carter
Gagner
P1
65.3%
25.0%
P2
60.1%
64.3%
P3
63.8%
83.3%
Final 5 min
65.3%
70.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
62.5%