Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Laughton 50.4% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 18-9 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 91.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 63.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 75.2%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Carter
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
9
(27 meetings)
18
9
Carter
Laughton
Last 10: Carter 8-2 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
3
6
Carter
Laughton
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
9
1
Carter
Laughton
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
6
2
Carter
Laughton
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
50.9% (5,383)
+2.4%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
52.6% (327)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
46.6% (887)
-0.3%
On power play, Carter has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Laughton is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,268).
Home / Away
Carter
Laughton
Home
54.7% (5,752)
51.2% (3,255)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
49.6% (3,342)
By Period
Carter
Laughton
P1
53.6%
49.2%
P2
52.8%
52.9%
P3
53.1%
49.1%
OT
56.5%
39.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 03:27 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2023 | OT | 02:07 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 06:22 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 07:46 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 09:43 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:13 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 03:29 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 19:48 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 11:20 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 16:44 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 10:33 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 07:37 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 05:13 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 15:31 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 15, 2021 | OT | 01:25 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |