Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 50.7% vs Nichol 56.2% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 81.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 55.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 60.9%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Carter
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Carter
Nichol
Last 6: Carter 1-5 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
2
Carter
Nichol
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nichol
1
3
Carter
Nichol
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (565)
58.0% (371)
-7.0%
Power Play
50.0% (188)
25.0% (4)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
57.3% (75)
-7.3%
On power play, Carter has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Carter is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Carter shoots right. Nichol is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Carter
Nichol
Home
52.3% (421)
58.6% (215)
Away
49.0% (353)
56.6% (235)
By Period
Carter
Nichol
P1
55.4%
56.1%
P2
49.1%
58.4%
P3
47.6%
57.8%
OT
58.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
50.8%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 11:49 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 06:03 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 2 | 08:23 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 1 | 02:17 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |