Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Carter wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Nichol shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Nichol 58.2% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 69.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 61.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 53.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Carter
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Carter
Nichol
Last 9: Carter 2-7 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
1
4
Carter
Nichol
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nichol
1
3
Carter
Nichol
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
59.0% (948)
-5.7%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
42.9% (14)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
59.5% (185)
-13.2%
On power play, Carter has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Carter shoots right. Nichol is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Carter
Nichol
Home
54.7% (5,752)
59.7% (576)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
58.1% (577)
By Period
Carter
Nichol
P1
53.6%
58.4%
P2
52.8%
57.3%
P3
53.1%
61.1%
OT
56.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
61.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
58.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 09:35 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 11:49 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 06:03 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 2 | 08:23 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 1 | 02:17 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 8, 2010 | 2 | 16:31 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |