Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Teravainen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.8% vs Teravainen 47.4% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 72.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 89.6%
Neutral zone
Carter 81.4%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
Carter
Teravainen
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Carter
Teravainen
Last 10: Carter 8-2 Teravainen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Teravainen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Teravainen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
7
3
Carter
Teravainen
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Teravainen
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,137)
47.2% (392)
+6.2%
Power Play
48.7% (154)
38.1% (21)
+10.6%
On power play, Carter has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Teravainen shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (964).
Carter shoots right. Teravainen is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Carter
Teravainen
Home
54.8% (753)
51.5% (231)
Away
48.6% (662)
40.7% (182)
By Period
Carter
Teravainen
P1
52.8%
49.6%
P2
53.0%
48.7%
P3
49.9%
43.4%
OT
53.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.9%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.9%
Teravainen
34.0%▼
39.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 17:36 | Neutral | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 14:02 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 00:16 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 19:17 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 06:35 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 1 | 09:31 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 3 | 14:17 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teuvo Teravainen |