Scouting Report
Teuvo Teravainen holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Teravainen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Teravainen 54.2% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Teravainen 75.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 85.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 53.0%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Carter
Teravainen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Carter
Teravainen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Teravainen
0
1
Carter
Teravainen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Teravainen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Teravainen
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
65.0% (40)
-5.3%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
44.4% (9)
+23.7%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
75.0% (4)
-21.8%
On power play, Carter has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Teravainen shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Carter shoots right. Teravainen is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (22).
Home / Away
Carter
Teravainen
Home
58.7% (455)
71.4% (28)
Away
60.0% (483)
52.0% (25)
By Period
Carter
Teravainen
P1
61.3%
64.0%
P2
57.1%
69.2%
P3
59.8%
53.8%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.2%
61.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Teravainen
34.0%▼
39.0%
62.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 13:10 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 10:22 | Offensive | Teuvo Teravainen |