Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Carter wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stapleton shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Stapleton 47.3% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 69.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 93.6%
Neutral zone
Carter 82.4%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 85.0%
85.0%
15.0%
Carter
Stapleton
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Carter
Stapleton
Last 7: Carter 5-2 Stapleton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stapleton
0
2
Carter
Stapleton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
4
0
Carter
Stapleton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Stapleton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Stapleton
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
45.6% (421)
+7.7%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
72.7% (11)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
50.0% (6)
-3.7%
On power play, Stapleton has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stapleton shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Carter shoots right. Stapleton is 42.5% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Carter
Stapleton
Home
54.7% (5,752)
47.3% (222)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
46.1% (219)
By Period
Carter
Stapleton
P1
53.6%
56.5%
P2
52.8%
42.4%
P3
53.1%
42.3%
OT
56.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Stapleton
38.0%▼
44.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2011 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 2 | 11:49 | Offensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 16:34 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 11:14 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Mar 17, 2011 | OT | 04:01 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 1 | 06:59 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |