Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Carter wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.4% vs Mitchell 49.1% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 92.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 56.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 73.2%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Carter
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Carter
Mitchell
Last 10: Carter 7-3 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
4
1
Carter
Mitchell
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
2
Carter
Mitchell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Mitchell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (934)
48.8% (699)
+2.7%
Power Play
58.5% (164)
28.6% (7)
+29.9%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (95)
51.9% (108)
+0.7%
On power play, Carter has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Carter is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (383).
Carter shoots right. Mitchell is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Carter
Mitchell
Home
55.1% (554)
50.0% (436)
Away
50.4% (639)
47.9% (378)
By Period
Carter
Mitchell
P1
50.8%
49.4%
P2
52.1%
48.4%
P3
54.8%
48.7%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 3 | 04:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 2 | 16:13 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 1 | 07:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 1 | 06:48 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 1 | 19:07 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |