Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Carter wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Mitchell 50.8% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 80.2%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 55.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 56.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Carter
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
11
(23 meetings)
12
11
Carter
Mitchell
Last 10: Carter 5-5 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
7
3
Carter
Mitchell
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
5
Carter
Mitchell
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Carter
Mitchell
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
50.7% (2,523)
+2.6%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
54.3% (35)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
50.7% (473)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Carter shoots right. Mitchell is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (927).
Home / Away
Carter
Mitchell
Home
54.7% (5,752)
52.1% (1,521)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
49.5% (1,512)
By Period
Carter
Mitchell
P1
53.6%
54.8%
P2
52.8%
48.1%
P3
53.1%
49.6%
OT
56.5%
55.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2016 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 1 | 05:57 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 12:57 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 13:53 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 13:51 | Offensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 18:11 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 09:20 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 13:05 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 06:48 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 3 | 04:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 2 | 16:13 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 1 | 07:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |