Scouting Report
Torrey Mitchell holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.8% vs Mitchell 54.0% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 78.4%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 79.6%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 56.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Carter
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Carter
Mitchell
Last 6: Carter 4-2 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
1
Carter
Mitchell
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Mitchell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,137)
53.8% (595)
-0.4%
Power Play
48.7% (154)
66.7% (6)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (124)
57.0% (151)
-14.3%
On power play, Mitchell has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Carter is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (451).
Carter shoots right. Mitchell is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Carter
Mitchell
Home
54.8% (753)
57.9% (375)
Away
48.6% (662)
51.2% (377)
By Period
Carter
Mitchell
P1
52.8%
57.9%
P2
53.0%
47.5%
P3
49.9%
58.8%
OT
53.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.9%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.9%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2016 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 1 | 05:57 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 12:57 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 13:53 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 13:51 | Offensive | Torrey Mitchell |