Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 25 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Fiddler 52.1% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 34-19 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 93.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 51.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 67.9%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Carter
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
19
(53 meetings)
34
19
Carter
Fiddler
Last 10: Carter 7-3 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
22
3
Carter
Fiddler
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
2
14
Carter
Fiddler
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
10
2
Carter
Fiddler
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
53.7% (4,899)
-0.4%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
50.0% (154)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
46.9% (1,479)
-0.6%
On power play, Carter has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Fiddler is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,195).
Home / Away
Carter
Fiddler
Home
54.7% (5,752)
53.1% (3,191)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
51.2% (3,366)
By Period
Carter
Fiddler
P1
53.6%
52.1%
P2
52.8%
52.6%
P3
53.1%
52.0%
OT
56.5%
46.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 19:50 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 3 | 06:45 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 1 | 15:58 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 1 | 15:47 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 1 | 08:47 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 10:56 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 09:45 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 09:32 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 01:35 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 3 | 10:53 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 3 | 00:31 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 18:47 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 14:55 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 10:15 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 01:33 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 16:12 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 01:28 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 08:03 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |