Scouting Report
Jeff Halpern holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Halpern wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Halpern 55.8% vs Thornton 54.3% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 82.6%
Defensive zone
Halpern 75.2%
Neutral zone
Thornton 58.0%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Halpern
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Halpern
Thornton
Last 9: Halpern 3-6 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
2
Halpern
Thornton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Halpern
Thornton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
3
Halpern
Thornton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Halpern
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (1,602)
53.5% (6,640)
+3.0%
Power Play
52.2% (46)
57.2% (1,387)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (487)
56.7% (427)
-2.5%
On power play, Thornton has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Halpern is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,432).
Halpern shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Home / Away
Halpern
Thornton
Home
56.1% (1,090)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
56.1% (1,062)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Halpern
Thornton
P1
56.2%
55.0%
P2
54.9%
53.3%
P3
57.3%
54.4%
OT
50.0%
56.4%
Final 5 min
60.4%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Halpern
56.0%▲
53.5%
56.1%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2012 | 3 | 14:09 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 13, 2012 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 13, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 13, 2012 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 13, 2012 | 2 | 04:38 | Offensive | Jeff Halpern |
| Feb 13, 2012 | 1 | 18:34 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 13, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Halpern |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 01:34 | Defensive | Jeff Halpern |