Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.5%). Look for Skinner on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 49.3% vs Aucoin 48.9% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aucoin 53.7%
Defensive zone
Aucoin 61.6%
Neutral zone
Skinner 52.5%
Result
Keith Aucoin favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Skinner
Aucoin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Skinner
Aucoin
Last 8: Skinner 3-5 Aucoin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aucoin
0
2
Skinner
Aucoin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aucoin
0
2
Skinner
Aucoin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Skinner
3
1
Skinner
Aucoin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Aucoin
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (38)
47.8% (320)
+2.2%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
59.1% (22)
-25.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
50.0% (2)
-16.7%
On power play, Aucoin has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aucoin shoots left. Skinner is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (30).
Skinner shoots left. Aucoin is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Skinner
Aucoin
Home
42.3% (26)
52.6% (154)
Away
55.6% (18)
45.3% (190)
By Period
Skinner
Aucoin
P1
33.3%
42.5%
P2
50.0%
52.9%
P3
63.6%
52.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
47.7%
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 17:45 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 07:34 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 10:54 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 04:21 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 01:48 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |