Scouting Report
Keith Aucoin holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Skinner on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 44.7% vs Aucoin 48.7% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 94.8%
Defensive zone
Aucoin 80.8%
Neutral zone
Skinner 58.9%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Skinner
Aucoin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Skinner
Aucoin
Last 8: Skinner 3-5 Aucoin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aucoin
0
2
Skinner
Aucoin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aucoin
0
2
Skinner
Aucoin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Skinner
3
1
Skinner
Aucoin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Aucoin
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (1,317)
47.8% (448)
-5.5%
Power Play
52.0% (404)
54.8% (31)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
75.0% (4)
-41.7%
On penalty kill, Aucoin has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aucoin shoots left. Skinner is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,097).
Skinner shoots left. Aucoin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Home / Away
Skinner
Aucoin
Home
48.2% (949)
52.6% (215)
Away
39.9% (791)
45.1% (268)
By Period
Skinner
Aucoin
P1
41.6%
45.8%
P2
46.0%
49.2%
P3
46.4%
51.9%
OT
23.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 17:45 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 07:34 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 10:54 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 04:21 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 01:48 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |