Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Skinner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 44.7% vs Wallmark 50.2% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Skinner leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Skinner 80.4%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 95.8%
Neutral zone
Wallmark 80.2%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Skinner
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Skinner
Wallmark
Last 10: Skinner 7-3 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
7
0
Skinner
Wallmark
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
2
Skinner
Wallmark
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
1
Skinner
Wallmark
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (1,317)
50.5% (1,852)
-8.2%
Power Play
52.0% (404)
56.3% (103)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
44.9% (216)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Wallmark has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. Skinner is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,097).
Skinner shoots left. Wallmark is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,391).
Home / Away
Skinner
Wallmark
Home
48.2% (949)
50.8% (1,070)
Away
39.9% (791)
49.6% (1,101)
By Period
Skinner
Wallmark
P1
41.6%
51.4%
P2
46.0%
50.8%
P3
46.4%
48.7%
OT
23.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 02:45 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 18:56 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 11:53 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 08:01 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 2 | 02:09 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 1 | 17:30 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |