Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.4% vs 45.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 44.7% vs Pacioretty 46.4% (-0.9%)
Offensive zone
Skinner 76.7%
Defensive zone
Pacioretty 63.1%
Neutral zone
Skinner 52.1%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Skinner
Pacioretty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Pacioretty
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (1,317)
43.2% (243)
-0.9%
Power Play
52.0% (404)
50.5% (97)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
50.0% (4)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Pacioretty has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pacioretty shoots left. Skinner is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,097).
Skinner shoots left. Pacioretty is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Skinner
Pacioretty
Home
48.2% (949)
46.6% (174)
Away
39.9% (791)
44.1% (170)
By Period
Skinner
Pacioretty
P1
41.6%
47.2%
P2
46.0%
47.0%
P3
46.4%
41.6%
OT
23.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Pacioretty
40.0%▼
48.0%
45.3%