Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 13 meetings). Skinner wins 36.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 44.7% vs Zibanejad 49.9% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 14-12 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Skinner 95.4%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 85.9%
Neutral zone
Skinner 56.0%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Skinner
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
14
(26 meetings)
12
14
Skinner
Zibanejad
Last 10: Skinner 5-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
10
1
Skinner
Zibanejad
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
13
Skinner
Zibanejad
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Skinner
2
0
Skinner
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (1,317)
50.8% (11,540)
-8.5%
Power Play
52.0% (404)
52.2% (1,848)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
41.3% (1,766)
-8.0%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Skinner is 36.7% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Skinner shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,527).
Home / Away
Skinner
Zibanejad
Home
48.2% (949)
51.6% (7,444)
Away
39.9% (791)
48.3% (7,711)
By Period
Skinner
Zibanejad
P1
41.6%
50.4%
P2
46.0%
49.7%
P3
46.4%
49.8%
OT
23.5%
48.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 13:01 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 02:30 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 02:23 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 31, 2023 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 19:28 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 07:44 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 2 | 13:51 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |