Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Skinner wins 31.8% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 43.5% vs Suzuki 49.6% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 95.1%
Defensive zone
Skinner 50.0%
Neutral zone
Skinner 81.8%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Skinner
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Skinner
Suzuki
Last 5: Skinner 0-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
5
Skinner
Suzuki
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
37.5% (152)
50.3% (1,075)
-12.8%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
49.3% (219)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
43.1% (116)
-43.1%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +43.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Skinner is 31.8% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Skinner shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,008).
Home / Away
Skinner
Suzuki
Home
41.5% (130)
53.6% (711)
Away
39.4% (94)
45.5% (699)
By Period
Skinner
Suzuki
P1
32.9%
48.5%
P2
47.1%
51.7%
P3
40.6%
49.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
40.6%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 13:21 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 1 | 13:11 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 11:08 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |