Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Skinner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 44.7% vs Poehling 48.1% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 82.2%
Defensive zone
Poehling 96.4%
Neutral zone
Poehling 77.0%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Skinner
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Skinner
Poehling
Last 7: Skinner 5-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
5
0
Skinner
Poehling
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Skinner
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (1,317)
49.4% (2,726)
-7.1%
Power Play
52.0% (404)
51.6% (93)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
41.6% (623)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Skinner is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,097).
Skinner shoots left. Poehling is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,301).
Home / Away
Skinner
Poehling
Home
48.2% (949)
49.3% (1,688)
Away
39.9% (791)
46.9% (1,754)
By Period
Skinner
Poehling
P1
41.6%
50.9%
P2
46.0%
47.0%
P3
46.4%
46.9%
OT
23.5%
37.9%
Final 5 min
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 3 | 12:52 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 3 | 07:22 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 2 | 08:40 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 1 | 11:41 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |