Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 50.9%). Skinner wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 50.3% vs Poehling 50.8% (+0.3%)
Offensive zone
Skinner 73.1%
Defensive zone
Poehling 78.9%
Neutral zone
Poehling 55.4%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Skinner
Poehling
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (33)
52.6% (622)
-1.1%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
58.3% (12)
-8.3%
On power play, Poehling has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Skinner is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Skinner shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Skinner
Poehling
Home
57.1% (21)
53.2% (393)
Away
45.5% (22)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Skinner
Poehling
P1
50.0%
50.9%
P2
57.1%
56.2%
P3
45.5%
46.1%
Final 5 min
62.5%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.2%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%