Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Skinner on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 44.7% vs Koivu 51.8% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 90.6%
Defensive zone
Koivu 96.2%
Neutral zone
Koivu 75.1%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Skinner
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Skinner
Koivu
Last 6: Skinner 4-2 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
1
0
Skinner
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Skinner
3
2
Skinner
Koivu
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (1,317)
51.9% (3,221)
-9.6%
Power Play
52.0% (404)
59.3% (437)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
48.0% (764)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Skinner is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,097).
Skinner shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Skinner
Koivu
Home
48.2% (949)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
39.9% (791)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Skinner
Koivu
P1
41.6%
51.1%
P2
46.0%
52.6%
P3
46.4%
51.8%
OT
23.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 03:17 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 1 | 06:30 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 10:48 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 12:48 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 1 | 16:05 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 03:00 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |