Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 53.1%). Look for Weiss on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Welsh wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Weiss shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Welsh 51.3% vs Weiss 53.0% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Welsh 54.7%
Defensive zone
Welsh 53.0%
Neutral zone
Welsh 56.7%
Result
Jeremy Welsh favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Welsh
Weiss
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Welsh
Weiss
Last 9: Welsh 2-7 Weiss
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weiss
0
1
Welsh
Weiss
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Weiss
0
4
Welsh
Weiss
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Welsh
Weiss
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Welsh
Weiss
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (125)
53.0% (2,521)
-0.2%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
54.6% (560)
-54.6%
On power play, Weiss has a +54.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weiss shoots left. Welsh is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (86).
Welsh shoots left. Weiss is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,175).
Home / Away
Welsh
Weiss
Home
53.7% (54)
54.7% (1,745)
Away
51.4% (72)
51.3% (1,657)
By Period
Welsh
Weiss
P1
45.5%
53.5%
P2
53.7%
54.2%
P3
55.8%
52.2%
Final 5 min
55.2%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Welsh
48.0%▼
52.4%
52.4%
Weiss
46.0%▼
56.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2013 | 3 | 13:02 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Oct 30, 2013 | 3 | 05:14 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 12:44 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 10:18 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 08:26 | Neutral | Jeremy Welsh |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 03:10 | Neutral | Jeremy Welsh |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |