Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.8% vs 57.0%). Look for Slater on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Smithson wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Slater shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 56.5% vs Slater 56.7% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Slater leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Smithson 63.7%
Defensive zone
Smithson 62.3%
Neutral zone
Smithson 59.7%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Smithson
Slater
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Smithson
Slater
Last 10: Smithson 3-7 Slater
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Slater
1
3
Smithson
Slater
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Slater
0
3
Smithson
Slater
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Slater
2
3
Smithson
Slater
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Slater
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (1,842)
58.9% (1,983)
-0.5%
Power Play
55.6% (45)
65.2% (46)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (443)
51.4% (722)
-0.8%
On power play, Slater has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Slater shoots left. Smithson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,681).
Smithson shoots right. Slater is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,044).
Home / Away
Smithson
Slater
Home
58.4% (1,195)
60.9% (1,436)
Away
55.0% (1,150)
52.7% (1,329)
By Period
Smithson
Slater
P1
55.9%
57.0%
P2
55.3%
55.6%
P3
59.0%
58.4%
OT
54.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.8%
Slater
74.0%▲
65.0%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 03:03 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 16:11 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 09:43 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 02:07 | Offensive | Jim Slater |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 2 | 19:30 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Jim Slater |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | Jim Slater |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jim Slater |