Jerred Smithson vs Joe Thornton
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Smithson wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 56.5% vs Thornton 54.3% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 83.3%
Defensive zone
Smithson 78.0%
Neutral zone
Thornton 55.2%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Smithson
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
14
(24 meetings)
10
14
Smithson
Thornton
Last 10: Smithson 4-6 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
9
Smithson
Thornton
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
5
2
Smithson
Thornton
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
4
3
Smithson
Thornton
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (1,842)
53.5% (6,640)
+4.9%
Power Play
55.6% (45)
57.2% (1,387)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (443)
56.7% (427)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Smithson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,681).
Smithson shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Home / Away
Smithson
Thornton
Home
58.4% (1,195)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
55.0% (1,150)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Smithson
Thornton
P1
55.9%
55.0%
P2
55.3%
53.3%
P3
59.0%
54.4%
OT
54.2%
56.4%
Final 5 min
55.3%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.8%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 17:02 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 18:24 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 14:22 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 10:11 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 3 | 06:17 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 05:16 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 1 | 12:10 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 3 | 10:57 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |