Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Smithson wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Madden shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 56.5% vs Madden 50.6% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smithson 66.4%
Defensive zone
Smithson 87.3%
Neutral zone
Smithson 86.9%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 87.1%
87.1%
12.9%
Smithson
Madden
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Smithson
Madden
Last 5: Smithson 4-1 Madden
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
3
0
Smithson
Madden
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Smithson
Madden
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Madden
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (1,842)
51.2% (1,083)
+7.2%
Power Play
55.6% (45)
51.5% (33)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (443)
47.6% (164)
+3.0%
On even strength, Smithson has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Madden shoots left. Smithson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,681).
Smithson shoots right. Madden is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (429).
Home / Away
Smithson
Madden
Home
58.4% (1,195)
52.7% (678)
Away
55.0% (1,150)
48.5% (623)
By Period
Smithson
Madden
P1
55.9%
51.5%
P2
55.3%
52.5%
P3
59.0%
47.6%
OT
54.2%
62.5%
Final 5 min
55.3%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.8%
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2011 | 2 | 09:58 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 16:07 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 15:57 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 02:20 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |