Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Smithson wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 56.5% vs Paul 52.2% (+4.6%)
Offensive zone
Paul 63.3%
Defensive zone
Smithson 77.9%
Neutral zone
Smithson 56.0%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Smithson
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (1,842)
52.5% (3,796)
+5.9%
Power Play
55.6% (45)
56.5% (480)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (443)
46.7% (574)
+3.9%
On even strength, Smithson has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Smithson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,681).
Smithson shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,780).
Home / Away
Smithson
Paul
Home
58.4% (1,195)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
55.0% (1,150)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Smithson
Paul
P1
55.9%
53.9%
P2
55.3%
51.0%
P3
59.0%
52.0%
OT
54.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%