Jerred Smithson vs Paul Gaustad
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.8% vs 57.7%). Smithson wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 56.5% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smithson 59.0%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 68.4%
Neutral zone
Smithson 50.0%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Smithson
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Smithson
Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
1
0
Smithson
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Smithson
Gaustad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
1
0
Smithson
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (1,842)
58.2% (4,334)
+0.2%
Power Play
55.6% (45)
65.4% (188)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (443)
54.8% (1,290)
-4.2%
On power play, Gaustad has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Smithson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,681).
Smithson shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Home / Away
Smithson
Gaustad
Home
58.4% (1,195)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
55.0% (1,150)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Smithson
Gaustad
P1
55.9%
58.2%
P2
55.3%
56.4%
P3
59.0%
58.3%
OT
54.2%
66.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.8%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2013 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 3 | 07:02 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |