Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Smithson wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Schremp shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 56.5% vs Schremp 46.8% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smithson 79.7%
Defensive zone
Smithson 96.6%
Neutral zone
Smithson 93.4%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 92.7%
92.7%
7.3%
Smithson
Schremp
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Smithson
Schremp
Last 6: Smithson 5-1 Schremp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
1
0
Smithson
Schremp
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
3
0
Smithson
Schremp
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Smithson
Schremp
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Schremp
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (1,842)
46.8% (410)
+11.6%
Power Play
55.6% (45)
44.9% (69)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (443)
25.0% (4)
+25.6%
On penalty kill, Smithson has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schremp shoots left. Smithson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,681).
Smithson shoots right. Schremp is 42.8% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Smithson
Schremp
Home
58.4% (1,195)
48.3% (238)
Away
55.0% (1,150)
44.0% (248)
By Period
Smithson
Schremp
P1
55.9%
54.1%
P2
55.3%
44.1%
P3
59.0%
41.5%
OT
54.2%
25.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.8%
Schremp
40.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2011 | 2 | 12:26 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 1 | 16:23 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 3 | 11:04 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 2 | 07:31 | Neutral | Rob Schremp |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |