Jerred Smithson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +18.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Smithson wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 55.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 39.3% (+18.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smithson 52.2%
Defensive zone
Smithson 95.8%
Neutral zone
Smithson 89.0%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 85.7%
85.7%
14.3%
Smithson
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Smithson
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 7: Smithson 6-1 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Smithson
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
2
0
Smithson
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
4
0
Smithson
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (518)
37.1% (566)
+20.8%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
54.5% (22)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (108)
40.0% (5)
+10.0%
On even strength, Smithson has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Smithson is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Smithson shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Smithson
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
57.8% (306)
37.5% (312)
Away
54.6% (339)
37.5% (293)
By Period
Smithson
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
51.8%
35.4%
P2
54.8%
37.8%
P3
62.0%
39.9%
OT
25.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
48.6%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
37.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2011 | 3 | 05:00 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 3 | 03:12 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 3 | 03:29 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 2 | 14:09 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 2 | 13:36 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 2 | 01:58 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 1 | 03:04 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |