Jerred Smithson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jerred Smithson holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Smithson wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Smithson 56.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+12.1%)
H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Smithson 64.2%
Defensive zone Smithson 95.5%
Neutral zone Smithson 88.7%
Result Jerred Smithson favored at 87.2%
87.2%
12.8%
Smithson Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 1 (7 meetings)
6
1
Smithson Nugent-Hopkins
Last 7: Smithson 6-1 Nugent-Hopkins

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Smithson Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
2
0
Smithson Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
4
0
Smithson Nugent-Hopkins
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Smithson
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (1,842)
44.9% (8,714)
+13.5%
Power Play
55.6% (45)
50.3% (829)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (443)
37.8% (875)
+12.8%
On even strength, Smithson has a +13.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Smithson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,681).
Smithson shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,625).
Home / Away
Smithson
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
58.4% (1,195)
46.4% (5,318)
Away
55.0% (1,150)
42.9% (5,112)
By Period
Smithson
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
55.9%
45.1%
P2
55.3%
43.8%
P3
59.0%
45.2%
OT
54.2%
43.5%
Final 5 min
55.3%
43.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%
58.0%
56.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%
46.5%
44.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 28, 2011 3 05:00 Neutral Jerred Smithson
Nov 22, 2011 3 03:12 Neutral Jerred Smithson
Oct 17, 2011 3 03:29 Neutral Jerred Smithson
Oct 17, 2011 2 14:09 Defensive Jerred Smithson
Oct 17, 2011 2 13:36 Defensive Jerred Smithson
Oct 17, 2011 2 01:58 Neutral Jerred Smithson
Oct 17, 2011 1 03:04 Offensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins