Who wins more faceoffs, Jerred Smithson or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?

Jerred Smithson leads the head-to-head 6-1 across 7 faceoffs.

What is Jerred Smithson's faceoff record against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?

Jerred Smithson is 6-1 against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 0-1, Defensive 2-0, Neutral 4-0.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Jerred Smithson or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?

Jerred Smithson is the predicted winner with a 87.2% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Jerred Smithson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Jerred SmithsonR vs Ryan Nugent-HopkinsL

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Jerred Smithson holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Smithson wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Smithson 56.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+12.1%)

H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Smithson 64.2%

Defensive zone Smithson 95.5%

Neutral zone Smithson 88.7%

Result Jerred Smithson favored at 87.2%

87.2%

12.8%

Smithson Nugent-Hopkins

Head-to-Head Record

6 - 1 (7 meetings)

Smithson Nugent-Hopkins

Last 7: Smithson 6-1 Nugent-Hopkins

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Nugent-Hopkins

Smithson Nugent-Hopkins

1 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Smithson

Smithson Nugent-Hopkins

2 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Smithson

Smithson Nugent-Hopkins

4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Smithson

Nugent-Hopkins

Edge

Even Strength

58.4% (1,842)

44.9% (8,714)

+13.5%

Power Play

55.6% (45)

50.3% (829)

+5.3%

Penalty Kill

50.6% (443)

37.8% (875)

+12.8%

On even strength, Smithson has a +13.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Smithson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,681).

Smithson shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,625).

Home / Away

Smithson

Nugent-Hopkins

Home

58.4% (1,195)

46.4% (5,318)

Away

55.0% (1,150)

42.9% (5,112)

By Period

Smithson

Nugent-Hopkins

55.9%

45.1%

55.3%

43.8%

59.0%

45.2%

54.2%

43.5%

Final 5 min

55.3%

43.7%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Smithson

52.0%▼

58.0%

56.8%

Nugent-Hopkins

48.0%▲

46.5%

44.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Nov 28, 2011	3	05:00	Neutral	Jerred Smithson
Nov 22, 2011	3	03:12	Neutral	Jerred Smithson
Oct 17, 2011	3	03:29	Neutral	Jerred Smithson
Oct 17, 2011	2	14:09	Defensive	Jerred Smithson
Oct 17, 2011	2	13:36	Defensive	Jerred Smithson
Oct 17, 2011	2	01:58	Neutral	Jerred Smithson
Oct 17, 2011	1	03:04	Offensive	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Smithson's Profile | Nugent-Hopkins's Profile